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Urban Agriculture, Progress and Prospect: 1975-2005
by Jac Smit (TUAN)
72144.3446@compuserve.com


    Tables



    Table 1.
    Community, City, National, and Global Policy Roles in Urban Agriculture

       Community City Nation Global
     Survey, document * * * *
    Access to land * * *  
     Integration with education * * * *
     Extension and credit services * * * *
     Establish partnerships * * * *
     Food security targets * *    
     Integrate with waste management * *    
     Support the disadvantaged * *    
     Environmental sustainability * * * *
     Adopt policy   * *  
     Information services   * * *
     Regulation   * *  
     Worker and public safety   * *  
     Enabling legislation     *  
     Research     * *
     Tax relief, subsidy   * *  
     Model codes/standards     * *
     Enable public authorities     *  
     Global and regional cooperation     * *


    Table 2.
    2005 Urban Agriculture Forecast/Scenerio


       1990  2005
     Share of World food produced  1/7 - 1/5  1/4 - 1/3
     Share of vegetables, meat, fish, dairy consumed in cities  1/3  1/2
     No. of urban farmers (for market)  200 million  400 million


      Assumptions

    • Urbanization continues apace, see IIED, 1996 data

    • Lower density cities increase opportunities for farming;

    • PC and Internet enable improved communication and decentralized marketing;

    • Technology transfer increases yields, improving competition with rural agricul ture;

    • Late 19th century waste handling technology is replaced with decentralized biological processing of waste;

    • "Waste is Food" concept accepted by global agencies and many nations;

    • "Food Security" is accepted as basic to social security and shelter by UNCHS, UN/FAO and most nations;

    • Virtual corporations and civic-public partnerships continue to thrive;

    • Women's businesses continue to grow faster than men's businesses;

    • Democratization continues to open up markets, credit, means of production, and access to resources;

    • City planning and management join with the environmental and civic movements to promote healthy and green cities:

      NB: Not all assumptions need to be satisfied to produce forecast.



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